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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • Noah Brown has garnered a massive 24.6% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • This year, the poor New York Giants defense has allowed a colossal 159.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 6th-worst in football.
  • The Giants pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 8.59 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New York's CB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 29.34 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) usually lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Noah Brown has been used less as a potential target this year (55.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (68.0%).
  • Noah Brown has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).

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