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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-106/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football last year, totaling a massive 59.8 plays per game.

Noah Brown ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs last year with an astounding 26.0% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

The Giants pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. WRs last year, allowing 8.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.

The New York Giants safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 6 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense last year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The model projects Noah Brown to be a less important option in his offense's pass attack this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (17.3% in games he has played).

Noah Brown rates as one of the weakest wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.37 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 14th percentile.

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