Noah Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Noah Brown

NFL · Player Props

Noah Brown

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
This year, the deficient Broncos pass defense has allowed a monstrous 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in the league.
This year, the weak Broncos defense has yielded the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a colossal 5.53 YAC.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

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