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Nico Collins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

Nico Collins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+146/-162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 135.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an exceptional 24.0% Red Zone Target Rate (89th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in football.

Nico Collins's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nico Collins has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (86.0 per game) than he did last year (102.0 per game).

Nico Collins's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 67.1% to 56.7%.

This year, the stout Broncos defense has yielded a measly 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the smallest rate in football.

This year, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has conceded a puny 0.25 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the lowest rate in football.

More Nico Collins Player Props

Nico Collins TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

Nico Collins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9