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With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their typical approach.Our trusted projections expect the Texans as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The Texans are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Nico Collins has been given 1.5% of red zone carries this year (0th when it comes to WRs).Nico Collins's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 67.1% to 59.5%.Nico Collins has rushed for 0.06 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in football when it comes to wide receivers and tight ends (93rd percentile).
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