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Nico Collins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

Nico Collins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+107/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

With a sizeable 26.1% Red Zone Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.

When it comes to air yards, Nico Collins grades out in the towering 95th percentile among WRs this year, accumulating a staggering 103.0 per game.

Nico Collins ranks in the 89th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.40 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Texans are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Nico Collins has been given 1.6% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th when it comes to WRs).

The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Nico Collins Player Props

Nico Collins TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

Nico Collins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16