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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The Texans rank as the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.5% pass rate.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (only 54.4 per game on average).

Nico Collins's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys an impressive decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.5 figure.

Nico Collins's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 67.1% to 62.2%.

More Nico Collins Player Props

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