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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.6% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football has been the Houston Texans.

To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) right now.

Opposing QBs have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.

Nico Collins has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (87.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (77.1%).

In this contest, Nico Collins is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

Nico Collins's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a substantial decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 5.5 figure.

Nico Collins's 58.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching talent over last season's 67.1% rate.

The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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