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Nico Collins Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Nico Collins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+107/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans will be forced to start backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

With a 64.1% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Houston Texans.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Nico Collins's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a meaningful drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 5.5 rate.

Nico Collins's 58.9% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a significant regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 67.1% figure.

This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a paltry 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

More Nico Collins Player Props

Nico Collins ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Nico Collins Receptions
Player Prop Week 10