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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.0 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

In this game, Nico Collins is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 86th percentile among wide receivers with 7.9 targets.

Nico Collins's 24.2% Target% this year marks a substantial growth in his pass game utilization over last year's 19.2% rate.

Nico Collins's 5.2 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a material gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 3.7 mark.

Nico Collins's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 58.1% to 67.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

The New York cornerbacks profile as the best CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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