My Account Log Out
 
 
Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.5% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 135.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Nico Collins is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.1 targets.
  • With a remarkable 24.1% Target% (89th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nico Collins has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (86.0 per game) than he did last year (102.0 per game).
  • Nico Collins's 49.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows a meaningful decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 75.0 rate.
  • Nico Collins's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 67.1% to 56.7%.
  • Nico Collins's receiving efficiency has declined this season, averaging a measly 7.67 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.07 mark last season.
  • Nico Collins's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.18 figure last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™