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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 71.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 62.6% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football has been the Houston Texans.
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) right now.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.
  • Nico Collins has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (87.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (77.1%).
  • In this contest, Nico Collins is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nico Collins has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (88.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Nico Collins's 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a remarkable regression in his receiving skills over last season's 75.0 mark.
  • Nico Collins's 58.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching talent over last season's 67.1% rate.
  • Nico Collins's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteable reduction in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.2% mark.

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