|
|
Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-114/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 79.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 71.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see 129.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.The predictive model expects Nico Collins to notch 8.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.In regards to air yards, Nico Collins grades out in the towering 97th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a striking 98.0 per game.Nico Collins rates in the 95th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 66.1 figure since the start of last season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).The Houston Texans have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.The Texans O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack stats across the board.Nico Collins's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 67.1% to 42.0%.Nico Collins's 6.3 adjusted yards per target this season marks a significant drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 9.1 rate.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
