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Nico Collins
NFL · Player Props
Nico Collins
WR · Houston Texans
Receiving Yards
Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 18, 2025 Updated Jan 4, 2026 2:37 PM EST
NFL Props Nico Collins Receiving Yards

Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (62.2% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Texans.
  • The model projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.53 seconds per play.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • In this contest, Nico Collins is projected by the predictive model to place in the 92nd percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.
Favors Under
  • The model projects the Texans offensive approach to skew 5.1% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Nico Collins has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (75.0).
  • Nico Collins's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 67.1% to 59.4%.
  • Nico Collins's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.18 rate last year.
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