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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This week, Nico Collins is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.
  • Nico Collins has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 25.1% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Nico Collins grades out in the towering 95th percentile among WRs this year, accumulating a staggering 103.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Nico Collins has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (75.0).

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