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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-110/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Texans.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Nico Collins is projected by the projection model to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.2 per game) this year.
  • Nico Collins's 65.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 75.0 mark.
  • Nico Collins's 60.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 67.1% figure.
  • Nico Collins's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.2% figure.
  • This year, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a paltry 7.8 yards.

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