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Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-109/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ +101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans may throw the ball less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Davis Mills.

The projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.7 plays per game.

The model projects Nico Collins to garner 8.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Nico Collins has compiled a massive 106.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.4 per game) this year.

Nico Collins has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (75.0).

Nico Collins's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 67.1% to 57.6%.

More Nico Collins Player Props

Nico Collins Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11