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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • While Nick Westbrook has been responsible for 4.9% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Tennessee's passing offense in this week's contest at 12.7%.
  • This year, the shaky Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • The Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Nick Westbrook's 55.5% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a remarkable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 67.5% mark.

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