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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Nick Westbrook to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this week's contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 55.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Titans.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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