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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -8-point underdogs.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Nick Westbrook to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack in this game (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the model to call just 61.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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