Nick Westbrook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been less involved as a potential target this season (76.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (57.6%).
The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (59%) versus wide receivers this year (59.0%).
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.