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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Nick Westbrook to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this week's contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.5% in games he has played).

The Vikings defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (164.0) versus wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 55.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Titans.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

After accumulating 37.0 air yards per game last season, Nick Westbrook has seen a big downtick this season, currently boasting 22.0 per game.

Nick Westbrook's ability to pick up extra yardage has diminished this year, totaling a measly 1.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.82 mark last year.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in football.

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