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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -8-point underdogs.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects Nick Westbrook to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack in this game (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.9% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.9% pass rate.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the model to call just 61.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

After averaging 37.0 air yards per game last season, Nick Westbrook has significantly declined this season, currently averaging 21.0 per game.

Nick Westbrook's 2.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a substantial decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 3.8% mark.

This year, the strong Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 137.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 10th-best in football.

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