Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:40 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+111/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an impressive 71.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a terrific 9.66 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 88th percentile among WRs.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been among the weakest wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.37 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 19th percentile.