Nick Westbrook Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+337/-640).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -557 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -640.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has compiled significantly more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 7th-most TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.6% to 61.6%.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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