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Nick Mullens

Nick Mullens TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Nick Mullens TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Nick Mullens in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 66.2% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the tough Detroit Lions defense has given up a paltry 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

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