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Nick Mullens

Nick Mullens Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Nick Mullens Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Nick Mullens is expected by the model to total the 10th-most carries among all QBs with 4.0.
  • While Nick Mullens has received 7.0% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Minnesota's running game in this game at 17.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Nick Mullens in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings as the least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 35.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Detroit Lions defensive ends grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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