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Nick Foles

Nick Foles Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers

Nick Foles Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-128/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 230.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 230.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Nick Foles to attempt 37.2 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 209.0 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

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