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Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 135.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.Nick Chubb has accrued a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).Nick Chubb's 9.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 4.3.
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