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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-295).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (only 54.4 per game on average).
  • Nick Chubb has been given 70.0% of his offense's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
  • This year, Nick Chubb has not caught any receiving TDs this year.
  • With a remarkable rate of 0.33 touchdowns on the ground per game (78th percentile), Nick Chubb ranks among the leading rushing touchdown-scorers in football this year.

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