My Account Log Out

reorder

Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Nick Chubb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-315).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (57.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Texans.

To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) right now.

Opposing QBs have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.

When it comes to air yards, Nick Chubb ranks in the towering 79th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a superb 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

Nick Chubb's 11.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 4.3.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects Nick Chubb to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (5.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

Nick Chubb has not caught any TDs this year.

Opposing squads have run for the most touchdowns in football (1.75 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Nick Chubb Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™