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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-850).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -700 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -850.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (62.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Texans.
  • With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.32 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • While Nick Chubb has accounted for 21.4% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Houston's running game near the goal line in this week's game at 6.9%.
  • Nick Chubb has put up a staggering 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • With a bad 69.3% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, Nick Chubb has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among RBs.
  • Nick Chubb has not scored a touchdown through the air this year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (75%) vs. RBs this year (75.0%).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the fewest receiving TDs in the league to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.

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