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Nick Chubb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

Nick Chubb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Nick Chubb has accrued a staggering 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

While Nick Chubb has accounted for 21.4% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Houston's run game near the end zone this week at 39.6%.

The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Nick Chubb Player Props

Nick Chubb TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

Nick Chubb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16