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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-390).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Nick Chubb has accumulated a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Texans being a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week.
  • The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • With a feeble 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among RBs.
  • Nick Chubb ranks in the 1st percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
  • This year, the deficient Arizona Cardinals run defense has yielded a staggering 1.15 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-largest rate in football.

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