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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-1000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +590 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +570.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.5 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a subpar 68.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (18th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb stands as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among running backs.
  • The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Nick Chubb's trading card this year.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.5%) to running backs this year (78.5%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 6th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.09 per game this year.

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