My Account Log Out
 
 
Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Nick Chubb has averaged 41.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (75th percentile).
  • Nick Chubb's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, averaging 4.26 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.21 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 41.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (only 54.4 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Nick Chubb has been a less important option in his team's run game this season (48.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (59.0%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™