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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-105/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) right now.

This year, the deficient Baltimore Ravens run defense has yielded a staggering 142.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 5th-most in the league.

The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans have been the 9th-least run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 37.4% run rate.

While Nick Chubb has garnered 47.3% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Houston's rushing attack in this week's contest at 36.7%.

With an awful record of 2.23 yards after contact (20th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb stands among the least efficient running backs in the league.

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