Nick Chubb Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

My Account Log Out

reorder

Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 27, 2025 10:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-111/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.32 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
Nick Chubb's 4.2 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a remarkable progression in his running skills over last year's 3.2 rate.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 41.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The projections expect Nick Chubb to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game in this contest (10.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (33.2% in games he has played).
Nick Chubb's 31.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects an impressive decrease in his running ability over last season's 41.0 figure.
The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

More Nick Chubb Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow