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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.32 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
  • Nick Chubb's 4.2 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a remarkable progression in his running skills over last year's 3.2 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 41.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Nick Chubb to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game in this contest (10.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (33.2% in games he has played).
  • Nick Chubb's 31.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects an impressive decrease in his running ability over last season's 41.0 figure.
  • The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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