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Nick Chubb
NFL · Player Props
Nick Chubb
RB · Houston Texans
Rushing Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2025 Updated Dec 8, 2025 1:12 AM UTC
NFL Props Nick Chubb Rushing Yards

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
  • Nick Chubb's running efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 4.10 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.20 rate last season.
Favors Under
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • Right now, the 8th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (37.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
  • Our trusted projections expect Nick Chubb to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game in this week's contest (22.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.2% in games he has played).
  • With a terrible rate of 2.52 yards after contact (13th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb stands among the worst running backs in the NFL.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 99.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.
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