Nick Chubb Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
Nick Chubb has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (62.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (41.8%).
The Chargers defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to run on 37.4% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Nick Chubb's running effectiveness has worsened this season, notching just 2.73 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.93 mark last season.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 108.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

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