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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

Nick Chubb has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (62.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (41.8%).

The Chargers defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to run on 37.4% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Nick Chubb's running effectiveness has worsened this season, notching just 2.73 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.93 mark last season.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 108.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

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