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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

With an outstanding tally of 5.93 adjusted yards per carry (94th percentile), Nick Chubb ranks among the best running backs in football last year.

This year, the porous Bengals run defense has been torched for a whopping 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects Nick Chubb to be a less important option in his team's run game in this week's contest (27.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (41.8% in games he has played).

The Bengals linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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