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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.4 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Nick Chubb is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 16.3 carries.

Nick Chubb has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (67.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (41.8%).

The Denver Broncos defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to run on 35.9% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

Nick Chubb's ground efficiency has diminished this year, compiling just 3.04 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.93 mark last year.

This year, the feeble Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a massive 3.86 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 24th-biggest rate in the league.

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