My Account Log Out
 
 
Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 92.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 89.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 92.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to notch 17.2 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • Nick Chubb has earned 58.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™