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Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 10th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to accumulate 17.1 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.Nick Chubb has earned 63.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.Nick Chubb has picked up 89.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (98th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.26 yards-per-carry.The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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