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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.5% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 135.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Nick Chubb's 9.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 4.3.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a lackluster 69.8% Adjusted Catch Rate (5th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among running backs.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 7th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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