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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -275.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.6% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football has been the Houston Texans.

To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) right now.

Opposing QBs have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.

Nick Chubb's 11.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 4.3.

This year, the feeble Ravens pass defense has allowed a whopping 86.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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