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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-350).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -350.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • This year, the deficient Steelers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the biggest rate in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Texans as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Nick Chubb comes in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, catching a measly 69.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

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