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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans may throw the ball less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Davis Mills.
  • The projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Tennessee's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.4 per game) this year.
  • Nick Chubb profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs, completing just 71.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

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