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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

With an impressive 39.8% snap rate (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Nick Chubb ranks among the RBs with the most usage in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

This year, the strong Chargers defense has yielded a meager 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the NFL.

More Nick Chubb Player Props

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