My Account Log Out

reorder

Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Completion% in football (85.8%) to running backs this year (85.8%).

The Cleveland Browns O-line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends project as the 10th-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

More Nick Chubb Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™